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Does U.S. want India to be a major power?

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Toronto, ON, Canada, — Does the United States want India to enlarge its role as a global power, as suggested by comments made by U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in Mumbai last week and echoed by Assistant Secretary of State for Public Affairs Philip J. Crowley in Washington?

Top U.S. media have published articles stating the same. Does this reflect a change of heart in Washington, an intention to elevate India’s position on the world stage, which has been India’s wish for two decades?

What price has India paid to get the United States to make this acknowledgement? Diplomacy was underway in the past six months after it appeared that U.S. President Barack Obama’s administration would give India a cold shoulder, especially on the nuclear deal. Now a new wrinkle has appeared – binding carbon emissions limits – and Obama has made India the first test case.

The United States has asked India to restart dialogue with Pakistan, despite its connection to acts of terror in India. To assuage India’s hurt feelings over this request, Clinton did stay at the Taj Hotel in Mumbai, which was targeted by Pakistani terrorists last November. Her meeting with the families of victims was like applying balm to a festering wound.

Overall, India and the United States appear to be building a mutually beneficial relationship. India needs to modernize its industry and infrastructure and the United States can help by influencing its capital flow. India also has a highly skilled English-speaking labor force that can do the United States’ back office work.

India can reimburse the money earned through exports and the business process outsourcing and information technology industries by purchasing U.S. technology and advanced goods on a balanced trade basis, completely unlike China. If the United States plays it right it can have access to India’s 1 billion customers.

The flip side is that the United States could be misleading India with mere sycophancy. Indians are pleased by kind words, and Clinton may be supplying them to boost the Indians’ ego. The main aim of the United States is to ally with Pakistan to fight its war in Afghanistan and the frontier regions of Pakistan.

If the United States is sincere in wanting India to play a bigger global role, the litmus tests will be:

1. Rapid movement on the Indo-U.S. nuclear deal.

2. Reaching an accord on end-user monitoring of U.S. weapons and sensitive defense technology sold to India, which has now been completed.

3. Not pressing India too hard on carbon emissions.

4. Elevating India to a permanent seat on the U.N. Security Council.

5. Reaching an early broad-based accord on investing in India.

Other than the economy, the United States’ central focus with India concerns Pakistan. The latter is much cozier with the United States than it was two years ago, having been bought over one more time with money and promises.

Pakistanis consider the terrorists who attacked Mumbai last November as their foreign policy tools. Although the United States hates this idea, all it can do is express public sympathy. In an endless game of arresting, releasing and re-arresting the perpetrators, Pakistan is shying away from its obligations. The United States is exerting some pressure, but cannot press too hard as Pakistan holds the strings on rooting out terrorism in its border region with Afghanistan. On the other hand, India will not talk to Pakistan unless the perpetrators of the Mumbai terror attacks are brought to justice.

Also, the United States is aware of China’s presence when it comes to negotiating any financial or trade deal with India. China’s rising military power and economic influence is now worrying the United States, as it does not know how to tame the genie that is already out of the bottle.

The United States erred by pumping too much money into China initially, and now wishes to build India up as a counter influence. This was former U.S. President George Bush’s policy, which increased foreign direct investment in India, gave it the nuclear deal, and allowed the sale of sensitive military hardware. However, this does not seem to be Obama’s policy.

The Obama administration highlighted China with Clinton’s visit to Beijing in February, while it maintained six months of silence on its India policy. In addition, a few unpleasant diplomatic missteps raised eyebrows in India. But is mistrust really vanishing now?

Clinton’s recent visit to India – without stopping in Pakistan – is a clear indication that the United States aims to de-hyphenate India and Pakistan. This 50-year-old policy was the cornerstone of mistrust between India and the United States during the Cold War. Previously, U.S. officials always insisted on visiting Pakistan whenever they visited India. But now Pakistan is hyphenated with Afghanistan, and U.S. Special Envoy Richard Holbrooke has a role in Afghanistan and Pakistan affairs only.

Before her tour to India, Clinton gave an interview to Pakistani journalist Anwar Iqbal of Dawn TV. Not much was said to either assuage or hurt Pakistan’s feelings for being left off her itinerary. Clinton did not mention Kashmir at all, though Iqbal brought it up several times.

Political problems aside, India needs money to spark a new look and produce quality goods for global export. If everything goes well, two U.S.-specific commercial nuclear sites will be decided in the next few days, which will start the bidding process for U.S.-supplied nuclear power plants.

The finalization of an end-user monitoring agreement for defense hardware will open the door for sophisticated technology to reach India. This will also give the United States a fair chance to secure India’s US$10 billion fighter contract. These deals would create about 100,000 new jobs in the United States for the next 10 years. Also, India’s imports of U.S. technology and goods could expand several times.

Trade and economic relations take precedence over everything else. Pakistan must be kept busy in its restive west and China’s displeasure should not be entertained, as neither likes to see India moving ahead economically. The United States should avoid making the same mistake it made with China, investing too much without getting China to revalue its currency.

India is hungry for technology and has a much bigger capacity to absorb Western technology and pay for it with its exports. The time is ripe for India and the United States to build a sincere and lasting partnership. But if Clinton is merely flattering India, the country could be taken for a ride one more time.

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(Hari Sud is a retired vice president of C-I-L Inc., a former investment strategies analyst and international relations manager. A graduate of Punjab University and the University of Missouri, he has lived in Canada for the past 34 years. ©Copyright Hari Sud.)



[ Flag ]
HumanRights @ August 4, 2009 01:21AM HKT
Dear Hari,

I have friends from Tamil Nadu to Punjab and following events in India for 30 years. please do not write incorrectly if you do not know the history of Tamils.

LTTE is a product of State Terrorism and Sinhala hooliganism. The world knows that LTTE was supported by Mrs. Indra Gandhi, MGR and trained by the Indians.

It is shame that you brand all Tamils as terrorists. Tamils have rallied all over the world in support of Tamil freedom from apartheid Lankan regime. Indian journalists have written against the Indian collaboration and support to War Crimes against Tamils.

Kashmir people deserve independence and India should end occupation. Tamils have experienced IPKF War crimes. Elected governments have no right to commit war crimes or they are not above the International law.

India was not existing about 500 years ago and there were several kingdoms. Former Annadurai has brought Tamil nationalism and it will return.

India may be big in size and population, mostly illiterate but recently Obama said that US and China will be the partners of the 21st century.

Tamils are not expecting any sympathy from criminal Indians whose hands are soaked with Tamil blood.

[ Flag ]
HariSud @ July 30, 2009 06:35AM HKT

You are not even close to knowing India.

Tamil in Sri Lanka ran a reign of terror. I am glad the LTTE leader and organization is dead.

You have no idea that Kashmir has an elected government, it has a loyal opposition. Crimes which you read are committed by locals just like you Sri Lanka Tamils were committing on their own people. To extract money from innocent Tamils in Canada, you indulged in murder. That is what you Tamil in Sri Lanka did.

India cannot be manipulated. It is too big to be manipulated by any one. The power in with the people who elect or dump a non performing government.

I love to see all the Tamils from Sri Lanka kept there. I do not wish to see them begin muder and rape in India's dear Tamil Nadu state. You guys are out of control. You deserve the worst and no sympathy.

By calling India Slumdog you are abusing 50 million Tamils in India.

[ Flag ]
HumanRights @ July 28, 2009 08:44AM HKT
Hari Sud...

You have conveyed your views about India but the civilized world has different views on India and Indians. No progress global leader will trust the Indians.

The current India is not that late Mohandas Gandhi dreamt about. Present India is an evil nation that has no respect for human rights. India is greedy, occupy Kashmir, committing crimes against humanity and Kashmiri victims have no justice.

The powerful Great Raja Raja Chola, a Tamil King who ruled many nations from Tamil Nadu and also built one of the largest shrines in the world. Tamils will repeat this when time comes.

Americans and the Western leaders are not foolish and they know how to manipulate India to their advantage. India with several languages and cultures will be doomed to fail, disintegrate when Indians are educated.

Sri lankan do not need a visa to enter Singapore but the Indians require a visa. This shows how Indians are respected by one of the smallest but successful nation on earth.

Hari... You are having a day dream! India is still a slumdog!

[ Flag ]
captainJohann @ July 24, 2009 08:38PM HKT
Mr.hari Sud has conveyed the views of his adopted country. USA is using its clients like Morarji Desai in the Indian ruling elite like mantosingh Ahluwalia,People in Media ,ofcourse in PMO's bureacrasy and pushing its own agenda. It even is now projecting gillani of Pakistan(aligned with ISI and Gen.Hamid Gul) as stronger bet than Zardari who is more friendly to India.It is giving a deal which even Iran has rejected Uranium bank in russia!!Ofcourse Indians are offerrred security council seat without VETO so that UNIPAC can cry victory.Actually US has aligned with China due to its treasury bills.









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