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India resurrects economic reforms

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Kolkata, India — India’s Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, in a surprise announcement last week, said the government will go forward with a plethora of reforms, which not only pleased the country’s stock markets and economists but foreign investors as well.

Having freed itself in elections last May from the shackles of its left allies, which long resisted the ruling United Progressive Alliance’s policies, the Congress Party-led government has finally decided to push ahead with thorny reforms that have been pending for years.

Addressing industry leaders at the India Economic Summit 2009 of the World Economic Forum in New Delhi on Nov. 9, Singh said that although the global financial crisis had left the country largely unscathed, India still needed to strengthen its financial system to be able to “provide for development.”

India needs “foreign investors’ participation,” and that means the country has to open up a broad agenda for reform. The government, he said, is already striving to achieve higher economic growth as well as “gradual but steady progress in financial sector reforms.”

Singh said he was looking at developing long-term debt markets, deepening corporate bond markets, and strengthening the insurance and pension sectors. Besides, his government was also looking at accelerating the sale of stakes in state-run companies. In other words, he promised to address the thorniest of all reforms – the divestment of government-held companies.

“In general, foreign investors want growth and we are glad that the prime minister has decided to address that,” said Indraneel Sengupta, an economist at Merrill Lynch, one of the largest foreign investors in India.

“As foreign investors we are also glad that the government is going ahead with divestment and is moving forward with initiating reforms in the insurance and pension sectors.”

For India these may be more than just reassuring words. The confidence that Singh exuded in making his announcement is perhaps a reflection of India’s more stable central government, after more than a decade of rule by a shaky coalition.

Although such reforms have been proposed ever since India opened up in the early 1990s, implementing them has been a tough task.

Take divestments for example. While the previous Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance gave privatization of government-held companies its first big push about a decade ago through strategic sales, political backlash and corruption allegations mired that effort. Arun Shourie, the divestment minister of that government, ultimately had to pull back. Soon after, the NDA lost the elections and had to give way to the UPA government.

A few years after assuming office, the UPA too made a few feeble attempts to bring divestments and some of the just-announced financial sector reforms back on track. But its erstwhile left allies, who opposed any form of reform as “the Congress government’s inefficiency,” thwarted them again.

In the May elections, however, the left failed to gain enough votes to stay within the government. That helped the Congress Party win a large chunk of the recent by-elections, which has now given Singh enough political hold to consider reforms again with renewed gusto, say experts.

“India's measures to deal with the crisis have been timely and adequate,” said Arpitha Bykere, senior analyst at RGE Monitor, a Washington-based global analysis firm. “(Although) fiscal stimulus has eased the slowdown in domestic demand while monetary measures have contained the impact of the global financial crisis, the main challenges actually lie ahead, in reforms,” she said.

Although foreign players are eager to invest in India, they have faced obstacles. “Foreign investors have remained wary since foreign investments faced numerous hurdles in the form of policy delays and political opposition,” Bykere said.

Still, so far this year foreign investors have already pumped in US$15 billion, which is just a little below the US$17.7 billion they brought in 2007, the year before the global financial meltdown began.

According to Sengupta, the global financial crisis may even be fortuitous for India. “India may have managed the financial crisis well and have consequently managed to attract an impressive amount of foreign investments this year,” he said. “But that was largely because, with most economies still struggling, foreign investors have had hardly any other choice.”

Besides, the U.S. Federal Reserve System’s continuing monetary policy has ensured the availability of cheap dollars, allowing investors to borrow cheap and invest in emerging markets, say experts.

“India will face tough competition though when other economies start picking up,” added Sengupta. “This is why, we feel, giving reforms an early push bodes well for India to remain competitive when other investment destinations start appearing attractive.”

Still, Bykere is cautious. The Indian economy depends largely on domestic demand and rising incomes, she says. In the near term, with the absence of benign global conditions, it is mostly domestic factors that will help India attain higher growth.

“Foreign investors will therefore watch out for the pace of reforms, implementation of foreign direct investment and financial sector liberalization, and reducing the fiscal deficit,” said Bykere.

Nevertheless, patience appears to be the name of the game. “Foreign investors accept that each country needs to pace its reforms suiting its environment,” said Sengupta. “And in a democracy like India, we know that there is a democracy tax we need to pay.”

He added, “Everything boils down to growth and continuity. As long as efforts of the government are directed towards addressing growth and maintaining continuity, foreign investors are happy.”



[ Flag ]
Louis @ November 24, 2009 08:42PM HKT
24 Nov 2009-India failed in its much-hyped `Agni pariksha’(Agni 2) on Monday. Though the attempt to launch a missile for the first time during night was a feather in its cap, the test reportedly failed to achieve the pre-coordinated mission parameters.

I heard somebody said here before Agni 3 can bomb Beijing by next year.

See how Indian trumpeting. They talk big big before they do it. But when you see their result, you will just cry his mother god, what is this?

Even now I very much worry if Agni 2 was nuke-loaded, it would exploded on its launch side, killing millions of civilian. That's why Hari Sud now is far away in Canada watching and crying of war with China.

[ Flag ]
Nazree @ November 23, 2009 10:31PM HKT
See it here, some writers I know the best here who are Indian, Cant reason well, cant argue well, resort to threaten as in the name of Tim, Slopy.

Tarnish your country name. A democratic Indian resort to blackmailing when they cant win the exchange.

What a coward. Despise you guys.

[ Flag ]
Louis_ @ November 22, 2009 12:02AM HKT

Threatening me? COO-coo Tim

You should say it again if you got gut.

[ Flag ]
Tim @ November 21, 2009 11:08PM HKT
Watch yr mouth, Louis!There is a limit to my patience with you. I have Chinese from the mainland on my friendly staff who are getting a rise out of you. Every cog in the wheel is expendable..and you are not unreachable.
That said.. get some treatment! You are in serious trouble.

[ Flag ]
Louis_ @ November 21, 2009 04:04PM HKT

Help thyself Tim.

Go to your country and try to do good to your brothers and sisters.

You are deadly sinned if you are what you mentioned who you are, for letting and no help to your Indian children who live in hunger, in cold, naked with no toilet. Goddamnyou, Tim, you called it just 'discussing toilet'? You coldblooded to your 600m naked fellow brothers and mothers, you ain't human, but animal CIO and COO-coo bird. See your mirror on your slum if you have one, wake up from your adviser COO-COO bird's dream. You may get a penny if you lucky today, and squat by roadside to dump your shit. And hear to the bird chirping: COO coo tim, coo coo tim...Sin-ga-pore-coo-coo-tim


[ Flag ]
Tim @ November 21, 2009 11:50AM HKT
Hi Slope: I tried my darndest to get him to address the main issues that he had personally raised in both posts. It was a sheer waste of time! Quoting Louis:"reading between the lines is unteachable.It requires lots of brain juice(sic)" and "can only teach you to your level, you got eyes but cannt see, have ears but cannt hear". He is calling me a low IQ person,slumdog,discussing toilets etc. What he does'nt realize is that I was a CIO and COO of one of the world's largest hedge funds with investors from every country-including his Chinese princelings; and I share friendships across the globe. I started advising Singapore's Central Bank-the Monetary Authority of Singapore in late 70's when their Head was Singapore's Deputy PM. I started life poor in Rotterdam with $8 in savings; and grew to be a senior US exec and hedge fund mgr. at blue chip firms and finally, my own hedge fund. I tried to help him but he wallowed in his importance! I didn't pull rank-just kept it friendly! He would do well to read my friendly advice based on years of relationships!
Ultimately, everybody has his own destiny and karma! Best,Louis!

[ Flag ]
slope @ November 21, 2009 10:37AM HKT
tim!!! louis was born from a hooker with her one night stand with some tofu brained slant crap. then his profession seems to be a shit cleaner, that's why he has so much importance for the toilets

[ Flag ]
Louis_ @ November 20, 2009 04:12PM HKT
Where is your toilets, not to mention food and edu for yr people, yet you talk big about super power and air craft carrier.

A super biggest democratic nation, shame shame.

Where is my tax goes...India

[ Flag ]
Louis_ @ November 20, 2009 04:04PM HKT
600m lack toilets in India: UN...Where do our taxes go?

[ Flag ]
Louis_ @ November 20, 2009 04:02PM HKT
Yet the UN’s Mumbai Human Development Report 2009, published earlier this month, points out that even where public toilets exist, most have no running water, drainage or electricity, making them unhygienic and unusable.

Embarrassment means women and girls often wait all day until it is dark to go to the toilet, increasing their chances of infections and exposing them to violence or even snake bites as they seek out remote places.

Poor sanitation and the illnesses it causes cost the Indian economy 12 billion rupees a year, according to the health ministry.

Sim, who sees links between public lavatories and social development, wants the issue pushed up the political agenda, urging people to “talk more about toilets.” “People go to the toilet more often than they have sex,” he said. “Everybody has to go.

[ Flag ]
Louis_ @ November 20, 2009 02:15PM HKT

Hi Tim

Unfortunately, reading between the lines is unteachable.It requires lots of brain juice and wisdom.

Since India IQ is 81, ranks 59 in the world according to Wiki(IQ and the Wealth of Nations). I say sorry to you too to not being able to understand me. I can only teach you to your level, you got eyes but cannt see, have ears but cannt hear. Sincerely hope that your gods bless you.

[ Flag ]
Tim @ November 20, 2009 01:11PM HKT
As you can see from Louis's comments, he is completely brain-dead! His response to the subject of Indian economic reforms-even a minor statement of why he thinks they are good or bad-is not even addressed. Then I noted that this is the same post that he did yesterday on Saurav Jha's article "Obama plays Chinese checkers". He talks about slums and toilets-both times. Unfortunately, he also brings Gandhi into his discussion.
Get a life, Louis-you are completely out of your depth! You are a cold-hearted rascal-they is not one redeeming quality in you! Go chill out with Confucious or the Ten Commandments! There is a particular commandment on jealousy that should apply to you-not to mention casting aspersions on your neighbors!
This is my last post to you-relax and enjoy life rather than being a bitter, envious person with an axe to grind!

[ Flag ]
Louis_ @ November 19, 2009 07:35PM HKT
600m lack toilets in India
In slum areas, where more than half of Mumbai lives, an average 81 people share a single toilet. In some places it rises to an eye-watering 273. Even the lowest average is still 58, according to local municipal authority figures.
Unsurprisingly, it is still common to see people squatting by roads and railway tracks or along the coast, openly defecating in the city that drives India's economy and where some of the world's richest people live. The UN estimates that 600 million people or 55 per cent of Indians still defecate outside, more than 60 years after the scrupulously clean independence leader Mahatma Gandhi first talked of the responsible disposal of human waste.

[ Flag ]
Louis_ @ November 19, 2009 02:53PM HKT
Tired of Indian bullshiting again.

Indian always feel good and confident, when did you see them not?

Everything is timely and good for them, but when you see their results...you will call his mother god, see Arjun, LCA and its forth-world-rate trains...,still British railway no better than Malaysian, his mother gods sake. I hate them trumpeting...









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